This past weekend’s football results have certainly lead to a shake up of several markets. Manchester United suffered their first loss of the season, and to a team that was ranked last at that. Chelsea failed to flatter against Liverpool, even after fielding Liverpool’s top player having poached him mid week. In fact, there were several surprise results all round. The end result is that outright betting odds have seen several changes, although some are hard to fathom.
In the all-important end of season title race, bookmakers have almost gifted the raced to Manchester United. They are around 1/2 to take the title with the next best Arsenal at 5/2. The rest of the pack are at double figures with Chelsea leading that race at 10/1.
The markets that are really starting to heat up are the top 4 and top 6 markets. United and Arsenal look solid to finish at least in the top four. Chelsea and Manchester City round out the favourites in top four betting; bookmakers are not offering odds on a top six finish. Spurs are 13/8 to finish in the top 4, Liverpool 9/1 and strangely Everton next best at 66/1.
In top six betting, the same three are favoured with Spurs at 1/66, Liverpool 4/11, Everton 5/1 and Sunderland at 11/2. It is interesting to see Everton promoted in betting ahead of Sunderland. The Black Cats are seven points ahead of Everton; and Everton are not exactly setting everything on fire with their current form.
At 11/2, Sunderland represent great value for a top six finish. You can also get 80/1 for a top four finish, and while that may be a difficult ask, they could sneak in. They’re certainly worth a little nibble for a huge return. This last weekend saw goals aplenty. We’ll have to see what the next round brings; probably a goal drought.